National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Equality Council
National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Equality Council

Appendix 1: Tables and Assumptions

Numeracy

Up to Publications / Reports

prev page|TOC|next page

Tables

Table 1: Proportion of Australians who are homeless, by Indigenous status, 2006
Table 1: Proportion of Australians who are homeless, by Indigenous status, 2006

Source: Chamberlain and McKenzie (2006) Counting the Homeless, ABS Cat. No. 2050.0

Table 2: Proportion of Year 3, 5, 7 and 9 students at or above the national minimum standard for numeracy, by Indigenous status and state/territory, 2008–2009(a)
NSW
Vic
Qld
WA
SA
Tas
ACT
NT
Australia
Indigenous
Year 3
2008
88.6
93.0
75.5
75.5
79.2
94.5
88.4
52.4
78.6
2009
84.1
89.4
74.0
68.8
71.5
87.7
83.3
41.0
74.0
Year 5
2008
78.9
83.3
69.5
61.6
68.5
87.8
82.3
38.3
69.2
2009
82.5
86.9
73.9
67.4
73.5
85.7
83.6
45.5
74.2
Year 7
2008
84.5
87.9
81.8
74.2
75.9
92.4
90.3
50.2
78.6
2009
80.4
85.4
78.5
71.7
73.6
82.9
84.0
44.2
75.8
Year 9
2008
80.3
78.4
73.2
66.2
68.7
88.5
83.8
46.1
72.5
2009
80.9
83.8
76.5
67.4
76.0
84.8
81.9
45.2
75.0
Non-Indigneous
Year 3
2008
97.3
96.8
93.3
96.1
94.6
96.8
96.7
96.5
96.0
2009
96.0
96.1
93.6
94.5
93.5
94.4
95.1
92.4
95.2
Year 5
2008
95.2
95.0
92.0
93.7
91.7
92.9
95.3
91.6
94.0
2009
96.1
95.9
94.0
95.0
94.1
94.1
95.8
92.9
95.3
Year 7
2008
96.6
96.8
95.9
96.5
95.4
95.5
97.3
95.6
96.4
2009
95.8
96.3
95.9
95.4
95.0
93.9
95.9
93.8
95.8
Year 9
2008
95.4
95.5
93.8
94.3
93.7
93.1
96.9
93.6
94.8
2009
96.1
96.7
95.7
95.5
95.4
94.6
95.7
94.4
96.0

(a) Equating the 2008 NAPLAN results with the 2009 results is a complex procedure and involves some degree of statistical error. For this reason, there may be minor fluctuations in the average NAPLAN test results from year to year when, in reality, the level of student achievement has remained essentially the same. It is only when there is a meaningful change in the results from one year to the next, or when there is a consistent trend over several years, that statements about improvement or decline in levels of achievement can be made confidently. Some caution is required when interpreting changes in the performance across 2008 and 2009 (MCEECDYA 2009).

Source: MCEECDYA 2008; MCEECDYA 2009.

Year 3 numeracy

Current trend observed over period 2000 to 2007 will continuetop of page

Table 3: Projected proportion (current trend) of Indigenous and all students achieving the Year 3 national numeracy benchmark, 2000–2018, (per cent)
Numeracy benchmark
Indigenous students
All students
Year
Indigenous students
All students
Rate Difference
Upper CI
Lower CI
Upper CI
Lower CI
2000
73.7
92.7
19.0
66.6
80.8
90.7
94.7
2001
80.2
93.9
13.7
76.3
84.1
92.7
95.1
2002
77.6
92.8
15.2
74.0
81.2
91.5
94.1
2003
80.5
94.2
13.7
76.8
84.2
93.1
95.3
2004
79.2
93.7
14.5
75.1
83.3
92.5
94.9
2005
80.4
94.1
13.7
76.6
84.2
93.0
95.2
2006
76.2
93.0
16.8
71.9
80.5
91.6
94.4
2007
78.8
93.2
14.4
74.7
82.9
91.8
94.6
2008
79.1
93.2
14.2
75.2
83.0
91.9
94.6
2009
79.3
93.3
13.9
75.7
83.0
91.9
94.6
2010
79.6
93.3
13.7
76.2
83.1
92.0
94.6
2011
79.9
93.3
13.4
76.6
83.1
92.1
94.5
2012
80.2
93.3
13.2
77.1
83.2
92.2
94.5
2013
80.4
93.4
12.9
77.6
83.2
92.2
94.5
2014
80.7
93.4
12.7
78.1
83.3
92.3
94.5
2015
81.0
93.4
12.5
78.6
83.4
92.4
94.5
2016
81.2
93.5
12.2
79.1
83.4
92.5
94.5
2017
81.5
93.5
12.0
79.6
83.5
92.5
94.4
2018
81.8
93.5
11.7
80.0
83.5
92.6
94.4

Note: Shaded areas are projections.

Source: AIHW analysis of National report on schooling in Australia 2007, available through MCEETYA.

Year 5 numeracy

Current trend observed over period 2000 to 2007 will continuetop of page

Table 4: Projected proportion (current trend) of Indigenous and all students achieving the Year 5 national numeracy benchmark, 2000–2018, (per cent)
Numeracy benchmark
Indigenous students
All students
Year
Indigenous students
All students
Rate Difference
Upper CI
Lower CI
Upper CI
Lower CI
2000
62.8
89.6
26.8
58.3
67.3
87.9
91.3
2001
63.2
89.6
26.4
59.5
66.9
88.3
90.9
2002
65.6
90.0
24.4
61.9
69.3
88.7
91.3
2003
67.6
90.8
23.2
63.7
71.5
89.6
92.0
2004
69.4
91.2
21.8
65.5
73.3
90.0
92.4
2005
66.5
90.8
24.3
62.6
70.4
89.5
92.1
2006
66.0
90.3
24.3
62.2
69.8
89.0
91.6
2007
65.5
89.0
23.5
62.1
68.9
87.7
90.3
2008
65.9
89.0
23.1
62.6
69.3
87.8
90.3
2009
66.4
89.1
22.7
63.1
69.6
87.8
90.3
2010
66.8
89.1
22.2
63.7
70.0
87.9
90.3
2011
67.3
89.1
21.8
64.2
70.4
87.9
90.3
2012
67.7
89.1
21.4
64.7
70.7
88.0
90.3
2013
68.2
89.2
21.0
65.2
71.1
88.1
90.3
2014
68.6
89.2
20.6
65.8
71.5
88.1
90.2
2015
69.1
89.2
20.1
66.3
71.8
88.2
90.2
2016
69.5
89.2
19.7
66.8
72.2
88.2
90.2
2017
70.0
89.3
19.3
67.3
72.6
88.3
90.2
2018
70.4
89.3
18.9
67.9
72.9
88.3
90.2

Note: Shaded areas are projections.

Source: AIHW analysis of National report on schooling in Australia 2007, available through MCEETYA.

Year 7 numeracy

Current trend observed over period 2001 to 2007 will continuetop of page

Table 5: Projected proportion Year 7 (current trend) of Indigenous and all students achieving the Year 7 national numeracy benchmark, 2001–2018, (per cent)
Numeracy benchmark
Indigenous students
All students
Year
Indigenous students
All students
Rate Difference
Upper CI
Lower CI
Upper CI
Lower CI
2001
48.6
82.0
33.4
45.8
51.4
81.1
82.9
2002
51.9
83.5
31.6
48.9
54.9
82.6
84.4
2003
49.3
81.3
32.0
46.4
52.2
80.5
82.1
2004
51.9
82.1
30.2
49.1
54.7
81.3
82.9
2005
48.8
81.8
33.0
45.9
51.7
80.9
82.7
2006
47.5
79.7
32.2
44.6
50.4
78.6
80.8
2007
46.0
80.2
34.2
43.3
48.7
79.3
81.1
2008
45.4
79.8
34.4
42.7
48.1
78.8
80.7
2009
44.8
79.3
34.5
42.1
47.4
78.4
80.2
2010
44.2
78.9
34.7
41.5
46.8
77.9
79.8
2011
43.6
78.4
34.9
40.9
46.2
77.4
79.4
2012
42.9
78.0
35.0
40.3
45.6
77.0
79.0
2013
42.3
77.5
35.2
39.7
44.9
76.5
78.5
2014
41.7
77.1
35.4
39.2
44.3
76.1
78.1
2015
41.1
76.6
35.5
38.6
43.7
75.6
77.7
2016
40.5
76.2
35.7
38.0
43.0
75.1
77.2
2017
39.9
75.7
35.8
37.4
42.4
74.7
76.8
2018
39.3
75.3
36.0
36.8
41.8
74.2
76.4

Note: Shaded areas are projections.

Source: AIHW analysis of National report on schooling in Australia 2007, available through MCEETYA.

top of page

prev page|TOC|next page